消息人士：哥斯大黎加葛林斯潘在聯合國秘書長非正式投票中擴大領先

安東尼・斯洛德科夫斯基報導By Antoni Slodkowski

聯合國10月30日（路透）——兩名接近相關程序的人士表示，聯合國安全理事會週五進行的一項非正式投票顯示，哥斯大黎加前副總統麗貝卡・葛林斯潘（Rebeca Grynspan）擴大領先優勢，成為競逐第10任聯合國秘書長的最有力人選。UNITED NATIONS, Oct 30 (Reuters) - An informal poll by the United Nations Security Council on Friday showed former Costa Rican Vice President Rebeca Grynspan extended her lead as frontrunner in the race to become the 10th UN secretary-general, two people close ‌to the process said.

在15個成員國組成的安理會中，葛林斯潘獲得11票支持、4票反對。這是近幾個月來為接替安東尼歐・古特瑞斯（Antonio Guterres）所舉行的7次閉門投票中，她表現最強的一次；古特瑞斯今年將完成他的第二個5年任期。Grynspan got 11 votes in favor and 4 against on the 15-member council, marking her strongest showing in seven closed-door ballots conducted in recent months to replace Antonio Guterres as he finishes his second five-year term this year.

無論誰勝出，都必須處理多重危機，包括數場戰爭、美國削減對聯合國的出資，以及隨著華府退出聯合國旗下數十個機構，這個擁有193個會員國的組織政治影響力下滑。Whoever wins will have to tackle multiple crises, including several wars, cutbacks in US contributions to the UN, and the 193-member body's declining political relevance as Washington has pulled out of dozens of its agencies.

要取得安理會推薦，仍須進行正式投票。正式投票預料將在有一名候選人展現強大勝算時舉行，並須獲得至少9張贊成票，且5個常任理事國——法國、英國、美國、俄羅斯與中國——不得投下「不鼓勵」票。週五的投票未顯示這5個成員國如何投票。Securing the council's recommendation will require a formal vote, expected once one candidate shows a strong chance of prevailing, with at least nine positive votes and no "discourage" votes from the five permanent members — France, Britain, the US, Russia and China. Friday's ballot did not show how those five members voted.

近幾個月6次投票中有5次顯示，70歲的葛林斯潘以些微差距領先；8月一次投票則由蓋亞那駐聯合國大使卡洛琳・羅德里格斯－伯基特（Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett）位居首位。Five of six polls in recent months showed Grynspan, 70, narrowly ahead, with one poll in August placing Guyana's UN ambassador Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett in the top spot.

週五，羅德里格斯－伯基特獲得8票支持，排名第三；阿根廷籍的聯合國核子監督機構總幹事拉斐爾・葛羅西（Rafael Grossi）則以9張「鼓勵」票位居第二。On Friday, Rodrigues-Birkett received eight votes in favor, coming in third, while Argentina's Rafael Grossi, the director general of the UN nuclear watchdog, came in second with nine "encourage" votes.

週五也是阿拉伯聯合大公國外交官拉娜・努賽貝（Lana Nusseibeh）參選後的首次投票；但這名來自中東、曾任駐聯合國大使的候選人，以7票支持、6票反對、2票「無意見」排名第四。Friday also marked the first poll since United Arab Emirates diplomat Lana Nusseibeh entered the race, but the Middle Eastern contender and former ambassador to the UN came in fourth with seven votes in favor, six against and two marked as "no opinion."

古特瑞斯在2016年10月獲選時，安理會經過6次意向性投票才達成共識。When Guterres was chosen in October 2016, it took six straw polls for the council to reach agreement.

在聯合國逾80年歷史中，從未有女性擔任秘書長。In the more than 80-year history of the UN, there has never been a female secretary-general.

這名哥斯大黎加經濟學家本月稍早接受路透訪問時表示，聯合國已變得過於規避風險，下一任領導人必須準備好承受外交失敗的代價，並再次嘗試。In an interview earlier this month, the Costa Rican economist told Reuters that the UN has become too risk-averse and its next leader must be prepared to bear the cost of diplomatic failure and to try again.

（安東尼・斯洛德科夫斯基報導；Edmund Klamann編輯）(Reporting by Antoni Slodkowski; Editing by Edmund Klamann)