阿根廷向國會提交2027年預算案，預估GDP成長4%

布宜諾斯艾利斯，9月15日（路透社）——阿根廷政府週二向國會提交2027年預算提案，列出總統哈維爾・米雷伊（Javier Milei）在明年總統大選前的經濟預測與支出優先事項。BUENOS AIRES, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Argentina's government presented its 2027 budget proposal to Congress on Tuesday, laying out President Javier Milei's economic projections and spending priorities ahead of a presidential election next year.

根據這項法案，政府預估2027年國內生產毛額（GDP）將成長4%，高於今年預期的3%；並預期阿根廷明年將錄得逾150億美元貿易順差。According to the bill, the government forecasts GDP growth of 4% in 2027 from an expected 3% this year, and expects Argentina to record a trade surplus of over $15 billion next year.

年度通膨率預估為18%，今年則為29%。Annual inflation is projected at 18%, compared with 29% this year.

阿根廷將於2027年10月舉行總統大選，外界普遍預期米雷伊將尋求連任。這份預算案預料將成為本屆政府在投票前最後一份完整年度財政計畫，也可能成為競選期間經濟與政治優先事項的路線圖。Argentina will hold presidential elections in October 2027, and Milei is widely expected to seek re-election. The budget is expected to serve as the administration's final full-year fiscal plan before the vote, and is likely to operate as a roadmap for economic and political priorities heading into the campaign.

該法案接下來將送交預算委員會，之後再送交國會。阿根廷曾長時間在未獲核准預算的情況下運作，沿用前一年度預算；若此程序未能取得批准，這就是備用作法。The bill now moves to the budget committee, then to Congress. Argentina has operated for extended periods without an approved budget, with the previous year’s rolled over, which is the fallback if the process fails to secure approval.

米雷伊先前曾表示，阿根廷應增加國防支出，作為強化其對福克蘭群島（Falkland Islands）主權主張的更廣泛努力之一；該群島在阿根廷稱為馬爾維納斯群島（Malvinas）。Milei has previously said that Argentina should increase defense spending as part of a broader effort to strengthen its sovereignty claims over the Falkland Islands, known in Argentina as the Malvinas.

在美國總統唐納・川普（Donald Trump）釋出訊號，顯示華府在這項爭端上長期以來的中立立場可能鬆動後，米雷伊對阿根廷聲索福克蘭群島的立場轉趨強硬；阿根廷稱該群島為馬爾維納斯群島。Milei has adopted a harder line on Argentina's claim to the Falkland Islands, that Argentina calls the Malvinas after signals from U.S. President Donald Trump that Washington's longstanding neutrality on the dispute could soften.

分析師表示，自2023年底上任以來，米雷伊把其經濟方案的核心放在削減支出，並透過撙節措施消除財政赤字；這些措施已大幅降低公共支出，因此任何在國防等領域提出增加支出的計畫都格外引人注意。Since taking office in late 2023, Milei has centered his economic program on spending cuts and eliminating the fiscal deficit through austerity measures that have sharply reduced public expenditure, making any proposed increase in areas such as defense particularly notable, analysts said.

（Jorge Otaola與Lucila Sigal報導，Lucinda Elliot撰稿，Fabiola Aramburo編輯）(Reporting by Jorge Otaola and Lucila Sigal, Writing by Lucinda Elliot, Editing by Fabiola Aramburo)