中國華為預測：到2035年，數十億AI代理將主導AI流量

Eduardo Baptista 報導By Eduardo Baptista

北京9月16日（路透社）——中國華為預期，到2035年，自主代理將占全球AI詞元流量逾90%；這將需要運算能力大幅提升，也需要新的系統，以確保獨立軟體安全且可控。BEIJING, Sept 16 (Reuters) - China's Huawei expects autonomous agents to account for more than 90% of global AI token traffic by 2035, requiring huge increases in computing power alongside new systems to keep independent software secure and controllable.

這家中國科技與電信巨擘週三表示，AI詞元是模型接收與生成資訊時處理的單位；隨著代理持續感知周遭環境、推理、決策並呼叫外部工具，AI詞元的年度消耗量將在未來十年暴增。Annual consumption of AI tokens, the units models process when receiving and generating information, will skyrocket over the next decade as agents continuously perceive their surroundings, reason, make decisions and call external tools, the Chinese tech and telecoms giant said on Wednesday.

美國頂尖AI研究人員與企業高層曾呼籲放慢前沿AI開發；此前曾發生失控代理事件，也有人警告，未來能自主操作硬體並取得資源的系統，可能會變得難以由人類控制。Leading AI researchers and executives in the U.S. have called for slowing frontier development after rogue agent incidents and warnings that future systems able to autonomously operate hardware and acquire resources could become difficult for humans to control.

華為的《智慧世界2035：將願景化為行動》報告並未呼籲放慢開發。相反地，該報告假設代理能力與部署將大幅擴張，並將自主代理的安全與隱私保護列為支撐這項發展所需的10項技術之一。Huawei's "Intelligent World 2035: Turning Vision into Action" report makes no call to slow development. Instead, it assumes agent capabilities and deployment will expand dramatically and lists security and privacy protection for autonomous agents among 10 technologies needed to support this.

這種作法反映出外界在AI發展步調上的更大分歧。美國科技產業部分人士正在討論是否協調限制前沿AI能力提升的速度；中國則大體上尋求加速AI在經濟各領域的應用，同時圍繞新興風險建立技術標準。The approach reflects a wider divide over AI pacing. While parts of the U.S. technology industry are debating coordinated limits on how quickly frontier capabilities improve, China has generally sought to accelerate AI adoption across its economy, while building technical standards around emerging risks.

華為表示，將AI帶入實體世界，對於實現通用人工智慧（AGI）至關重要；AGI通常指能在廣泛任務上達到或超越人類水準的系統。Huawei said moving AI into the physical world would be essential to achieving artificial general intelligence, or AGI, which generally refers to systems able to perform a broad range of tasks at or beyond human levels.

華為預期2035年將有9000億個AI代理HUAWEI EXPECTS 900 BILLION AI AGENTS BY 2035

華為這份報告是建立在其先前預測之上；華為早前預估，到2035年，全球可能有9000億個AI代理處於活躍狀態，約為預估全球人口的100倍。The Huawei report builds on its earlier forecast that 900 billion AI agents could be active globally by 2035, roughly 100 times the projected human population.

華為也正部署代理，作為資安應變的一部分。該公司4月推出一個自主安全營運平台，運用感測與執行代理來偵測並因應網路威脅；此外，華為也發布了AI防火牆提案，旨在保護企業AI系統。Huawei is also deploying agents as part of a security response. It launched an autonomous security-operations platform in April using sensing and enforcement agents to detect and respond to cyber threats, and has published proposals for AI firewalls aimed at protecting enterprise AI systems.

華為監事會主席郭平在週二發布的員工談話中表示，華為將AI視為公司「最大機會」，並希望其運算基礎設施成為中國版的美國晶片製造巨擘輝達。Guo Ping, chairman of Huawei's supervisory board, told employees in remarks released on Tuesday it viewed AI as the company's "biggest opportunity" and wanted its computing infrastructure to become China's equivalent of U.S. chipmaking giant Nvidia.

（Eduardo Baptista 報導；Alexander Smith 編輯）(Reporting by Eduardo Baptista; Editing by Alexander Smith)