民調顯示，瑞士料將否決收緊中立規則、禁止與北約合作的提案

蘇黎世，9月16日（路透社）——兩項民調顯示，在本月稍晚就此議題舉行公投前，選民看來將否決憲法修正案；該修正案將禁止瑞士與北大西洋公約組織（NATO，北約）合作，或對其他國家實施制裁。ZURICH, Sept 16 (Reuters) - Voters looked set to reject constitutional changes that would bar Switzerland from cooperating with NATO or imposing sanctions on other countries, two polls showed before a referendum on the issue later this month.

根據《20 Minuten》和塔梅迪亞（Tamedia）的一項調查，約68%受訪者料將反對採納對瑞士官方中立更嚴格的定義。這項定義是由右翼瑞士人民黨（Swiss People's Party, SVP）發起的公投所提出。Around 68% were set to reject the adoption of a stricter definition of the country's official neutrality, proposed in a plebiscite launched by the right-wing Swiss People's Party (SVP), according to a survey by 20 Minuten and Tamedia.

週三公布的這項民調指出，只有31%受訪者支持「維護瑞士中立」公投所列的提案。Only 31% were in favour of the proposals set out in the "Preservation of Swiss Neutrality" vote, that poll that was published on Wednesday said.

民調機構GFS伯恩（GFS Bern）為瑞士廣播公司SRG進行的另一項民調顯示，63%受訪者反對該提案，34%支持。A separate poll conducted by GFS Bern for broadcaster SRG showed 63% against the proposal with 34% in favour.

兩項民調均顯示，反對該提案的聲浪上升。該提案已遭瑞士政府反對，但依照瑞士直接民主傳統，仍將於9月27日交由公民投票決定。Both polls showed rising opposition to the proposal, which have been rejected by the Swiss government but which will be put to the public in a referendum on September 27 under the Swiss tradition of direct democracy.

GFS伯恩的柯琳娜・謝納（Corina Schena）表示：「目前數字非常明確地指向否決，」而且即使在瑞士人民黨選民之中，支持度也正在減弱。"The current figures point very clearly towards a rejection," and support was waning even among SVP voters, Corina Schena from GFS Bern said.

瑞士中立自1815年起獲國際承認，並自1848年起成為該國憲法的一部分，使瑞士未捲入兩次世界大戰。Swiss neutrality, internationally recognised since 1815 and part of the country's constitution since 1848, kept Switzerland out of both world wars.

瑞士人民黨資深政治人物、支持者克里斯多夫・布洛赫（Christoph Blocher）上月告訴路透社，在瑞士政府因俄羅斯2022年入侵烏克蘭而對俄羅斯實施制裁後，瑞士的中立地位正受到威脅。Christoph Blocher, a veteran politician and backer of the SVP, told Reuters last month that Switzerland's neutral status was under threat after Bern imposed sanctions on Russia over its 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

根據塔梅迪亞的研究，支持修憲者表示，在瑞士憲法中收緊中立的定義，將可防止政府淡化中立原則，並有助於瑞士在衝突中扮演可信賴的調解者。Supporters of the change said tightening the definition of neutrality in the Swiss constitution would prevent the government from watering it down, and help Switzerland act as a credible mediator in conflicts, according to the Tamedia study.

但反對者表示，這項倡議將嚴重限制瑞士因應外交政策挑戰的能力，並削弱該國防衛。But opponents said the initiative would severely restrict Switzerland’s ability to respond to foreign policy challenges and would weaken the country's defence.

在塔梅迪亞民調中，近四分之一受訪者也表示，若在違反國際法的情況下仍避免實施制裁，將被視為站在侵略國一邊，並損害瑞士在全球的聲譽。Nearly a quarter of those surveyed in the Tamedia poll also said that refraining from imposing sanctions in cases of violations of international law would be seen as taking sides with aggressor states and would damage Switzerland’s reputation around the world.

塔梅迪亞和SRG上月公布的兩項民調也顯示，受訪者明確傾向否決，但反對比例較低，分別為62%和54%。Two polls published last month by Tamedia and SRG had also showed a clear rejection but at a lower level with 62% and 54% of those surveyed against.

（John Revill報導；Andrew Heavens編輯）(Reporting by John Revill; Editing by Andrew Heavens)