Why Canada election candidates dodged Hong Kong protest ‘minefield’ ahead of Justin Trudeau’s win

South China Morning Post 發布於 2019年10月23日00:10 • Ian Young in Vancouver ian.young@scmp.com
  • Only 2,742 out of the estimated 300,000 Canadians living in Hong Kong were on Canada’s International Register of Voters as of mid-October
  • Candidates may have avoided the issue of the Hong Kong protests for fear of alienating one camp or the other, observers said
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his wife, Sophie Gregoire Trudeau, wave as they go on stage at Liberal election headquarters in Montreal on Monday. Photo: AP

Hong Kong's protest upheaval may have ignited intense activism among diaspora communities in Canada, but it was also a political minefield mostly dodged by contenders in the federal election on that returned Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to power Monday, observers said.

And in Hong Kong, engagement in the election among the vast Canadian community there appears to have been extremely low compared to elsewhere, in another possible reflection of the few options available to Canadian politicians to influence events in the city one way or the other.

Only 2,742 of the estimated 300,000 Canadians living in Hong Kong had registered to vote as of October 13, a rate far exceeded by Canadian expatriate communities elsewhere.

Despite the debate over the protest movement in Hong Kong, "this was not a good electoral issue" for Canadian politicians, said Yves Tiberghien, a professor of political science at the University of British Columbia and a distinguished fellow at the Asia-Pacific Foundation.

"The levers for Canada are very limited, so there was no serious 'choice A' or 'choice B'" for candidates regarding the Hong Kong protest movement, Tiberghien said on Tuesday, the day after Trudeau's centre-left Liberals were re-elected with the reduced mandate of a minority government.

A supporter greets New Democratic Party MP Jenny Kwan in Burnaby, British Columbia, on Monday. Kwan was one of the few Canadian candidates to take a firm stance on Hong Kong's protests, speaking at a rally in support of the movement in August. Photo: Reuters

Hong Kong's protest movement "was a minefield" that candidates chose to avoid, said Tiberghien. He cited electoral ridings in Richmond, BC, the most ethnically Chinese city in the world outside Asia.

Richmond has been the scene of large protests over Hong Kong. But "the community is divided" between mainland Chinese and Hongkongers, and taking one side of the debate risked alienating the other, Tiberghien said.

They wanted candidates to come clean (about Hong Kong's protests), but that represents a riskCanadian activist Kevin Huang

"So even in Richmond, at the end of the day it was bread and butter issues that were more important," he said.

Overall, the city of Richmond is 54 per cent ethnically Chinese. Hong Kong immigrants make up 12 per cent of the population of 198,000, and 22 per cent are mainland immigrants.

But Cantonese speakers make up about 27 per cent of the city, compared with 30 per cent who speak Mandarin, the difference narrowed by the Canadian-born descendants of the longer-established Hong Kong immigrants.

A Hong Kong demonstrator throws a petrol bomb towards a police station during a protest in Mong Kok on Sunday. Photo: Bloomberg

Canada's party leaders made little mention of Hong Kong during the campaign, and few candidates took explicit stances on the protests.

A notable exception was Jenny Kwan, the Hong Kong-born MP for Vancouver East, who spoke at a rally in support of the movement in late August. Kwan, representing the left-leaning New Democratic Party, was re-elected on Monday with a much-increased 35 per cent majority over her second-placed Liberal rival.

In Richmond, the city now has two federal MPs who were born in Hong Kong, with Kenny Chiu in Steveston-Richmond East joining Alice Wong, the re-elected incumbent in Richmond Centre. Both are Conservatives.

Conservative candidate Kenny Chiu, who won the riding of Steveston-Richmond East in Monday's Canadian federal election, is pictured with party leader Andrew Scheer (right). Photo: Handout/Andre Forget

In response to a yes/no question at a Richmond Chamber of Commerce debate, about whether they supported an "autonomous and democratic Hong Kong", Chiu and Wong both said yes.

In a later written response on Facebook, they did not mention the protest movement, but said Hong Kong had been "promised their form of democracy (via the Basic Law) until 2047, as per the Sino-British Joint Declaration. We value the rule of law."

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Community activist Kevin Huang, who has supported the Hong Kong protest movement, said the reluctance of candidates to take hard stances on the protests may reflect a growing awareness that "the Chinese vote" was not "homogenous".

Canadian groups that supported the protests had tried to engage with candidates to get them to take a position, but with limited success, said Huang, executive director of the non-profit Hua Foundation, which is based in Vancouver and works with Asian diaspora youth.

Justin Trudeau, Canada's prime minister, arrives at an election-night event in Montreal. Photo: Bloomberg

One group, Canadian Friends of Hong Kong, set up a website, "Ask Politicians About CCP", with a list of questions for electors to ask candidates; these included asking whether "the Canadian government should immediately issue a strong statement condemning the Hong Kong SAR government and the Hong Kong police force".

"They wanted candidates to come clean, but that represents a risk (for the candidate)," said Huang, who said he was not surprised that few Canadian politicians would take a strong stance on Hong Kong.

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Monday's election was the first in which long-term overseas Canadians had the right to vote, after a Supreme Court decision in January struck down a rule that electors must have lived in Canada at some point in the past five years.

Hong Kong's estimated 300,000 Canadians represent the second-biggest foreign Canadian community, behind the 783,000 in the US (according to the US Census Bureau), and 87,000 in the UK (according to the British Office of National Statistics). But the rate of international voter registration in both places dwarfs that in Hong Kong.

Conservative leader Andrew Scheer speaks at a press conference in Regina, Saskatchewan, on Tuesday, having lost his bid to become Canada's prime minister. Photo: AFP

As of October 13, only 0.9 per cent (2,742 voters) of Canadians in Hong Kong were on Canada's International Register of Voters, compared with about 2.9 per cent (22,394 voters) of those in the US, and about 6.9 per cent (5,989 voters) of those in the UK.

At that time, there were 51,978 on the register worldwide, Elections Canada said. By Monday, that had increased to 55,515, with 31,798 votes having been received. A breakdown of those voters by location was not immediately available from Elections Canada.

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Tiberghien said the low rate of voter registration among Canadians in Hong Kong might suggest they had been there longer than counterparts in, say, Britain. Huge numbers of Hong Kong-born Canadians moved back to Hong Kong after the 1997 handover, although recent statistics suggest this flow may have changed direction again.

The International Register of Voters does not include voters who are still registered as residing in a Canadian electorate, but actually live overseas.

Additional reporting by Crystal Tai

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